Market · 1 of 5 outcomes
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:21 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KrackenSruster0xd44e…67e2 | No | 6,377 | 60.0¢ | $4.11K | Proven+$10.52 per $100 · 893 bets |
| Valen90x162f…798d | Yes | 5,000 | 40.0¢ | $1.77K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| AlAhmeda0x9d73…216b | No | 920 | 66.2¢ | $593 | Losing−$1.99 per $100 · 4,949 bets |
| peterfromfamilyguy0x9352…2227 | Yes | 1,439 | 35.6¢ | $511 | Proven+$4.36 per $100 · 699 bets |
| nellojello0xa8ae…8eb7 | No | 700 | 63.9¢ | $452 | Proven+$10.19 per $100 · 305 bets |
| mamai0xabbe…8f37 | No | 508 | 61.0¢ | $328 | Losing−$7.39 per $100 · 667 bets |