Market · 2 of 5 outcomes
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 01:07 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8811120xd426…334a | No | 1,254 | 73.5¢ | $959 | Proven+$15.37 per $100 · 1,938 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 1,004 | 77.0¢ | $768 |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| AlAhmeda0x9d73…216b | No | 900 | 76.8¢ | $689 | Losing−$1.99 per $100 · 4,949 bets |
| browne0xbf96…9942 | No | 776 | 67.8¢ | $593 | Proven+$2.85 per $100 · 304 bets |
| Valen90x162f…798d | Yes | 2,103 | 25.7¢ | $494 | Proven+$2.48 per $100 · 882 bets |
| enrico-vasaio0xcc79…1c2a | No | 554 | 76.0¢ | $424 | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,143 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 1 shares each side · Show
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