Market · 3 of 5 outcomes
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:52 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| tr10000x8a8b…375c | No | 1,500 | 79.3¢ | $1.29K | Losing−$2.06 per $100 · 6,303 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 273 | 20.0¢ | $38 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 126,571+ bets · updating |
| sdfsdfsdfsdf20x321e…9292 | Yes | 258 | 21.0¢ | $36 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 231 | 11.9¢ | $32 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| 0xeda5…073b | No | 20 | 88.0¢ | $17 | — |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | No | 18 | 87.9¢ | $16 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.