Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:59 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wickier0x1cc1…b8df | No | 5,996 | 77.0¢ | $5.01K | Proven+$18.22 per $100 · 1,097 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 631 | 82.7¢ | $527 |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| singularityman0x8797…bbbe | Yes | 3,025 | 11.9¢ | $499 | Proven+$17.46 per $100 · 571 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 500 | 86.0¢ | $418 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,694 bets |
| Contentious-Dinnerdate0x7365…64da | Yes | 2,516 | 15.9¢ | $415 | Proven+$13.02 per $100 · 1,204 bets |
| Hakei.0x97ea…3363 | No | 427 | 87.7¢ | $356 | Proven+$4.64 per $100 · 2,040 bets |
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.04M in play