Market · 2 of 6 outcomes
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:37 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 1,008 | 28.3¢ | $448 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 142 | 64.0¢ | $79 | Losing−$2.76 per $100 · 122,728 bets |
| Valiv0x1fb2…a893 | No | 115 | 57.0¢ | $64 | — |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | No | 104 | 73.0¢ | $58 | Positive+$3.68 per $100 · 14,155 bets |
| gfdgfvfvssdd0x84bb…1477 | No | 100 | 73.0¢ | $56 | — |
| dsds10xc85d…18b2 | No | 100 | 70.0¢ | $56 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 120 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.