Market · 2 of 22 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 16:13 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AndreaPirlo0x09b4…e56d | No | 408 | 92.6¢ | $373 | — |
| sange1110x87a9…4bdf | Yes | 3,698 | 8.5¢ | $320 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 287 | 92.3¢ | $262 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | Yes | 1,900 | 3.7¢ | $164 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 8,509 bets |
| poposd0xf512…0985 | No | 102 | 95.5¢ | $93 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 100 | 91.1¢ | $91 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,881 bets |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 769 | 3.0¢ | $67 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 7,275 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 61 | 90.9¢ | $55 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| edgewarehouse0x7eeb…b6bd | No | 43 | 91.6¢ | $40 | — |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 441 | 2.1¢ | $38 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| pykue0xa45f…d6cb | Yes | 301 | 12.5¢ | $26 | — |
| vamnizar0xaf46…8c1d | Yes | 274 | 8.6¢ | $24 | — |
| 0xbf45…6091 | Yes | 263 | 8.0¢ | $23 | — |
| 0xVeywa0xc622…e1a4 | Yes | 215 | 10.0¢ | $19 | — |
| OsvaldoMarianao270xf939…43e1 | Yes | 160 | 8.8¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x9830…a7ab | Yes | 124 | 7.5¢ | $11 | — |
| Zenef0x5b24…f36a | Yes | 107 | 14.6¢ | $9 | — |
| OmwamiJeff0xa1bb…7a53 | Yes | 100 | 7.0¢ | $9 | — |
| ThePredictionMinute0x58c0…e64f | Yes | 84 | 10.3¢ | $7 | — |
| Tokahvill0x72be…67b8 | Yes | 80 | 7.9¢ | $7 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 80 | 10.5¢ | $7 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| hhham0x5ad3…eb27 | Yes | 68 | 14.0¢ | $6 | — |
| amman0x3d48…4385 | Yes | 65 | 7.8¢ | $6 | — |
| Theendin0x8ab4…ef40 | Yes | 64 | 8.2¢ | $6 | — |
| Ajoke2090x0d2a…f6c3 | Yes | 63 | 8.4¢ | $5 | — |
| 87sdgfds0xec52…a4a4 | No | 6 | 87.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 84sfs0x4b4c…c67d | No | 6 | 88.0¢ | $5 | — |
| defiance-cr0xb84c…e169 | No | 6 | 89.0¢ | $5 | — |
| EonGlobe0x48f5…c9d3 | No | 5 | 92.4¢ | $5 | — |
| xTriple70xec6f…b34f | Yes | 56 | 9.0¢ | $5 | — |
| babyalgo0x0a3a…e990 | Yes | 50 | 1.1¢ | $4 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 50 | 7.4¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.59 per $100 · 123,775 bets |
| Panopticon0070x07cf…a9fa | Yes | 46 | 7.4¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.68 per $100 · 1,872 bets |
| Mazemeshane0x3100…c8e2 | Yes | 44 | 11.9¢ | $4 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | No | 4 | 90.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.96 per $100 · 4,379 bets |
| Kot.ua0x770a…0eca | Yes | 40 | 7.8¢ | $3 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 37 | 9.4¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,947 bets |
| 0xa1c0…03f1 | Yes | 25 | 8.3¢ | $2 | — |
| YourAnimeGirl0xad70…4ccf | Yes | 21 | 8.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 83afaf0x7b38…b187 | Yes | 21 | 12.7¢ | $2 | — |
| icebear10x3262…9ac5 | Yes | 20 | 8.4¢ | $2 | — |
| undebal0xc145…32bb | Yes | 18 | 9.4¢ | $2 | — |
| rocky420240x391d…def1 | No | 1 | 90.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.11 per $100 · 9,815 bets |
| damirjan0x736e…7101 | Yes | 13 | 15.6¢ | $1 | — |
| T0shiro0xaa1e…5798 | Yes | 13 | 8.4¢ | $1 | — |
| BuksDeFi0xaff9…315b | Yes | 12 | 9.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Lucyyyg0x16d8…3ee1 | Yes | 12 | 9.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Boycrrypt0x7b3b…6453 | Yes | 11 | 9.4¢ | $1 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 10 | 2.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,522 bets |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 10 | 14.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | 1 | 91.3¢ | $1 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 9 | 7.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| TomorrowB0x40d7…1218 | Yes | 8 | 7.3¢ | $1 | — |
| iammlucky0x0b17…fecc | Yes | 5 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
| NFTNomad220x5b6e…45d4 | Yes | 4 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 92.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,772 bets |
| KZzzsj0x7c3f…ff8d | No | 0 | 87.0¢ | $0 | — |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | Yes | 0 | 11.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 9,895 bets |
| 88dfhf0xeed8…679c | Yes | 0 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ViscaElBarca0xe457…5ab3 | No | 0 | 89.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 7.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | 0 | 8.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 22,612 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 0 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.92 per $100 · 158,231 bets |
| Pol7StrategyBuilder0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | 0 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Beubeu0x4435…786f | Yes | 0 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $720K in play
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.