Market · 9 of 22 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 16:11 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 93 | 97.4¢ | $93 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| mktestmm0x5904…940f | No | 18 | 98.0¢ | $18 | — |
| lilith2750x7db0…8c18 | No | 15 | 97.1¢ | $15 | Proven+$5.07 per $100 · 376 bets |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | Yes | 2,234 | 2.2¢ | $6 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 8,509 bets |
| wert40x46f7…ded2 | No | 5 | 99.0¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 8,515 bets |
| sange1110x87a9…4bdf | Yes | 1,184 | 1.9¢ | $3 | — |
| Panopticon0070x07cf…a9fa | Yes | 1,014 | 1.1¢ | $3 | Proven+$3.68 per $100 · 1,872 bets |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 709 | 2.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 7,275 bets |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 589 | 1.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 480 | 1.7¢ | $1 | — |
| Badekarret0xe343…23fd | Yes | 458 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | 1 | 99.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | 348 | 2.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 22,612 bets |
| 0xa775…334e | Yes | 225 | 1.6¢ | $1 | — |
| ViscaElBarca0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | 180 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| BenjiPredicts0x9f5e…343c | Yes | 152 | 3.4¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 135 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,772 bets |
| 88dfhf0xeed8…679c | Yes | 123 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| OmwamiJeff0xa1bb…7a53 | Yes | 100 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 84 | 1.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 3,178 bets |
| justwant50xbc13…5578 | Yes | 61 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Etherapp0x9fac…3e5a | Yes | 58 | 3.6¢ | $0 | — |
| babyalgo0x0a3a…e990 | Yes | 50 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734.0x843c…0734 | Yes | 43 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 35 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.59 per $100 · 123,775 bets |
| ahlook0x7733…26d5 | Yes | 34 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 21 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,522 bets |
| vituchino0x5dfa…b6cd | Yes | 20 | 5.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Fluo0x2b34…b202 | Yes | 20 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 83afaf0x7b38…b187 | Yes | 20 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 19 | 1.7¢ | $0 | — |
| damirjan0x736e…7101 | Yes | 18 | 5.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 16 | 6.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,947 bets |
| 0x2ff6…fd27 | Yes | 10 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Yoyobinks0x5e6a…97f2 | Yes | 10 | 1.4¢ | $0 | — |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 10 | 4.5¢ | $0 | — |
| OsvaldoMarianao270xf939…43e1 | Yes | 5 | 4.4¢ | $0 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 0 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.92 per $100 · 158,231 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $720K in play
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.