Market · 8 of 22 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 01:10 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 420 | 99.2¢ | $419 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0xb764…51dd | No | 165 | 99.3¢ | $165 | — |
| liq20x3423…fe57 | No | 100 | 99.7¢ | $100 | — |
| 0xa169…1b73 | No | 39 | 99.8¢ | $39 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 99.8¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,710 bets |
| mktestmm0x5904…940f | No | 18 | 99.2¢ | $18 | — |
| sange1110x87a9…4bdf | Yes | 2,526 | 1.0¢ | $6 | — |
| wert40x46f7…ded2 | No | 5 | 99.4¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 8,515 bets |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | Yes | 1,821 | 2.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 8,509 bets |
| 88dfhf0xeed8…679c | Yes | 1,285 | 0.3¢ | $3 | — |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 766 | 2.2¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 7,275 bets |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 639 | 2.6¢ | $2 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| 0xM11tsuki0x7c2c…407e | Yes | 383 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$219.08 per $100 · 3,102 bets |
| 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734.0x843c…0734 | Yes | 150 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9495…468f | Yes | 110 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.14 per $100 · 12,955 bets |
| hallways0xa989…bb4d | Yes | 108 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Etherapp0x9fac…3e5a | Yes | 102 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ryzq1120x2225…bee7 | Yes | 100 | 3.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.23 per $100 · 655 bets |
| coolibin0x55c1…7db6 | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$29.26 per $100 · 245 bets |
| cheezbu0x7150…bb18 | Yes | 100 | 0.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$10.65 per $100 · 533 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 100 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,047 bets |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | 97 | 1.9¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 22,612 bets |
| ahlook0x7733…26d5 | Yes | 82 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6ced…6ffb | Yes | 70 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 63 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| amman0x3d48…4385 | Yes | 60 | 1.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x7003…7ca4 | Yes | 59 | 1.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 58 | 1.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,989 bets |
| babyalgo0x0a3a…e990 | Yes | 50 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| manochartino0xc20e…0a5e | Yes | 46 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 1,228 bets |
| 0x9161…fb65 | Yes | 42 | 2.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 73f44919CE0143F0e9a05F531f7C8B15c8a483a0.0x73f4…83a0 | Yes | 40 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| justwant50xbc13…5578 | Yes | 40 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 35 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.50 per $100 · 124,511+ bets · updating |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 22 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,906 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 21 | 1.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 83afaf0x7b38…b187 | Yes | 19 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| vamnizar0xaf46…8c1d | Yes | 18 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 10 | 2.6¢ | $0 | — |
| sanduspace0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | 6 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$44.40 per $100 · 11,985 bets |
| YouSnostYouLost0xac37…1111 | Yes | 5 | 2.7¢ | $0 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 0 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.91 per $100 · 158,885+ bets · updating |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| mcsg0x4d3d…5047 | Yes | 0 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 91 overlapping windows · 10 events · $816K in play
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.