Market · 14 of 19 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 05:47 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 213 | 99.3¢ | $213 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| mktestmm0x5904…940f | No | 15 | 99.5¢ | $15 | — |
| wert40x46f7…ded2 | No | 5 | 99.5¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 8,515 bets |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | Yes | 3,020 | 2.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.03 per $100 · 8,527 bets |
| 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.33 per $100 · 55,599+ bets · updating |
| sange1110x87a9…4bdf | Yes | 1,374 | 0.6¢ | $1 | — |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 797 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.34 per $100 · 7,296 bets |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 589 | 1.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,245 bets |
| 83afaf0x7b38…b187 | Yes | 474 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | 388 | 2.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.11 per $100 · 22,947 bets |
| mcsg0x4d3d…5047 | Yes | 333 | 1.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$21.94 per $100 · 750 bets |
| 0xa775…334e | Yes | 270 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 250 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.92 per $100 · 160,136 bets |
| 88dfhf0xeed8…679c | Yes | 244 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 190 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.70 per $100 · 128,686 bets |
| 0xb35a…c452 | Yes | 156 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.55 per $100 · 22,315 bets |
| 843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734.0x843c…0734 | Yes | 150 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ahlook0x7733…26d5 | Yes | 84 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| OsvaldoMarianao270xf939…43e1 | Yes | 79 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| vituchino0x5dfa…b6cd | Yes | 64 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| babyalgo0x0a3a…e990 | Yes | 50 | 1.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.23 per $100 · 10,277 bets |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 40 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.48 per $100 · 83,241 bets |
| justwant50xbc13…5578 | Yes | 40 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9495…468f | Yes | 40 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.16 per $100 · 13,289 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 35 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 125,507 bets |
| graynotebook190xcfff…673d | Yes | 30 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 22 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 112,292 bets |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 21 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Fluo0x2b34…b202 | Yes | 20 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 20 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 12 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,866 bets |
| 0x2ff6…fd27 | Yes | 10 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$875.31 per $100 · 26,627 bets |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 10 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 9 | 1.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 74,490 bets |
| mel270x6afe…f266 | Yes | 9 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| YouSnostYouLost0xac37…1111 | Yes | 5 | 2.7¢ | $0 | — |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $1.03M in play
Exactly one of this event's 19 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.