Market · 11 of 20 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 16:54 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| yuntied0x55cf…dfd0 | No | 599 | 99.9¢ | $598 | — |
| mktestmm0x5904…940f | No | 18 | 99.8¢ | $18 | — |
| sange1110x87a9…4bdf | Yes | 2,128 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| mit1200x71db…aba8 | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | Yes | 1,763 | 2.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.03 per $100 · 8,527 bets |
| 83afaf0x7b38…b187 | Yes | 966 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 88dfhf0xeed8…679c | Yes | 787 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| vamnizar0xaf46…8c1d | Yes | 695 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 609 | 1.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,245 bets |
| vituchino0x5dfa…b6cd | Yes | 470 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 320 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,434 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 260 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.92 per $100 · 159,552+ bets · updating |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 184 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.34 per $100 · 7,296 bets |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.55 per $100 · 22,315 bets |
| 843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734.0x843c…0734 | Yes | 150 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9495…468f | Yes | 110 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.14 per $100 · 12,955 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 108 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,341+ bets · updating |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 67 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.64 per $100 · 14,872 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 60 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 58 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,306 bets |
| babyalgo0x0a3a…e990 | Yes | 50 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 40 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.75 per $100 · 67,936+ bets · updating |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | Yes | 40 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| justwant50xbc13…5578 | Yes | 40 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 35 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 125,071 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| graynotebook190xcfff…673d | Yes | 30 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x4e72…ffb9 | Yes | 24 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.68 per $100 · 28,611+ bets · updating |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 22 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.06 per $100 · 87,025+ bets · updating |
| .Menthe0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | 19 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| vamosgaming0x6cff…a463 | Yes | 16 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | Yes | 15 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 22,345 bets |
| 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | 14 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x827d…c558 | Yes | 10 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2ff6…fd27 | Yes | 10 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$875.31 per $100 · 26,627 bets |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | Yes | 10 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.68 per $100 · 41,055+ bets · updating |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 10 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| mel270x6afe…f266 | Yes | 9 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 6 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| YouSnostYouLost0xac37…1111 | Yes | 5 | 2.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0000…dead | Yes | 5 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 2 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.54 per $100 · 87,774 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $896K in play
Exactly one of this event's 20 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.