Market · 20 of 26 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 08:37 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| shaiuu0xce7a…5b28 | No | 65 | 99.8¢ | $65 | — |
| MTRVPZERTGR0x9543…56c1 | No | 35 | 99.8¢ | $35 | — |
| GGDFG0x7b61…18d1 | No | 34 | 99.8¢ | $34 | — |
| 457hfg0x80cf…8a35 | No | 32 | 99.8¢ | $32 | — |
| tfhhtut65g0xc0a4…ed52 | No | 30 | 99.8¢ | $30 | — |
| TweetPulse.Live0xbbdc…5d81 | Yes | 3,006 | 4.0¢ | $21 | — |
| L82880x0b5c…3748 | No | 15 | 99.0¢ | $15 | — |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | 1,043 | 0.5¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.44 per $100 · 1,112 bets |
| wakuwaku30x7db5…cf18 | Yes | 262 | 0.2¢ | $2 | — |
| Poiuztrewq0x6df7…afb0 | Yes | 236 | 3.8¢ | $2 | Losing−$6.74 per $100 · 2,996 bets |
| oboltusovao0x4a67…65c8 | Yes | 100 | 4.0¢ | $1 | — |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 62 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 23 | 2.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 20 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.69 per $100 · 128,729 bets |
| .Menthe0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | 14 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | 10 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$514.17 per $100 · 51,461 bets |
| 0x9bc0…71b6 | Yes | 5 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $1.03M in play
Exactly one of this event's 26 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.