Market · 22 of 26 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 16:14 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| hetacz0x6864…294b | No | 200 | 99.8¢ | $199 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 8,509 bets |
| nsrtgser50x923a…14b4 | No | 22 | 99.8¢ | $22 | — |
| xz987970x9179…b046 | No | 20 | 99.8¢ | $20 | — |
| giugku0x017f…7f98 | No | 13 | 99.8¢ | $13 | — |
| sinziana0xb19e…b8d5 | No | 10 | 99.9¢ | $10 | — |
| ihrekunst0xc5e8…8354 | Yes | 1,843 | 0.2¢ | $7 | — |
| sebyastiens0xbc62…4f5e | Yes | 1,500 | 2.0¢ | $6 | — |
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 913 | 3.7¢ | $4 | Losing−$1.11 per $100 · 2,223 bets |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 792 | 3.8¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 7,275 bets |
| mfgnhxfg0x81d9…3caf | No | 3 | 99.8¢ | $3 | — |
| oboltusovao0x4a67…65c8 | Yes | 200 | 4.0¢ | $1 | — |
| sanduspace0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | 200 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$44.40 per $100 · 11,985 bets |
| rains450x5fff…3cf1 | Yes | 110 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| justwant50xbc13…5578 | Yes | 100 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| .Menthe0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 42 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | 21 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.76 per $100 · 26,465 bets |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$503.23 per $100 · 49,800+ bets · updating |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9bc0…71b6 | Yes | 5 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| LinaBell🦊0x8eab…a56d | Yes | 3 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 4,037 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $720K in play
Exactly one of this event's 26 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.