Market · 25 of 26 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 22:31 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poiuztrewq0x6df7…afb0 | Yes | 5,000 | 3.8¢ | $2 | Losing−$6.74 per $100 · 2,996 bets |
| Elonurmom0x0f7f…6450 | Yes | 4,473 | 3.6¢ | $2 | — |
| cool.guide0x0e70…bf72 | Yes | 2,500 | 2.0¢ | $1 | — |
| hirichzhou0x71f7…2e2e | Yes | 2,204 | 4.0¢ | $1 | — |
| TweetPulse.Live0xbbdc…5d81 | Yes | 1,471 | 4.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 1,093 | 3.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.34 per $100 · 7,296 bets |
| sebyastiens0xbc62…4f5e | Yes | 1,080 | 2.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Kaiji1230xe5bd…339a | Yes | 1,000 | 2.0¢ | $1 | — |
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 891 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.20 per $100 · 2,236 bets |
| ComradeCat0x60ec…8d4c | Yes | 857 | 3.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Mei-ji0x2924…dcde | Yes | 623 | 4.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 3,268 bets |
| 0x3f18…25ec | Yes | 420 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb0e7…39d2 | Yes | 318 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.57 per $100 · 23,808 bets |
| 11110x280f…1963 | Yes | 300 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Qatalyst0x65f7…86dd | Yes | 300 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
| AndreaPirlo0x09b4…e56d | Yes | 283 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 240 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,613 bets |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 224 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.64 per $100 · 14,872 bets |
| oboltusovao0x4a67…65c8 | Yes | 200 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| justwant50xbc13…5578 | Yes | 185 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| akhk12450xca60…310d | Yes | 170 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.55 per $100 · 22,315 bets |
| TheGreatBeta0xf322…ebf9 | Yes | 150 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | 116 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| haraldNine0xed3f…a9e4 | Yes | 110 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | Yes | 110 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.03 per $100 · 8,527 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 104 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.69 per $100 · 128,576 bets |
| Demet3r0x40e6…459f | Yes | 100 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9495…468f | Yes | 89 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.14 per $100 · 12,955 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 81 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| SpringlyFawl0xfbed…a665 | Yes | 77 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$11.18 per $100 · 11,552 bets |
| .Menthe0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0bdb…baca | Yes | 34 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | Yes | 31 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 22,345 bets |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 27 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.06 per $100 · 87,025+ bets · updating |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 20 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 29,966+ bets · updating |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 20 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$14.60 per $100 · 54,599 bets |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$875.31 per $100 · 26,627 bets |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$513.99 per $100 · 51,400 bets |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 9 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.73 per $100 · 43,328 bets |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9bc0…71b6 | Yes | 5 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $896K in play
Exactly one of this event's 26 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.