Market · 4 of 10 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 19:23 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaiji1230xe5bd…339a | Yes | 3,500 | 5.6¢ | $210 | — |
| RickRockRick0x35f3…cfd0 | Yes | 2,614 | 5.6¢ | $157 | — |
| exponentially0xa2d7…e3b7 | No | 59 | 88.5¢ | $55 | — |
| Iryna2k0x6da8…ec45 | No | 55 | 90.9¢ | $52 | Break-even+$0.81 per $100 · 862 bets |
| Mei-ji0x2924…dcde | Yes | 700 | 11.0¢ | $42 | — |
| gordontradedc0x04a2…e16c | Yes | 660 | 11.5¢ | $40 | — |
| Blueynbingo0x52aa…42a2 | No | 22 | 92.3¢ | $20 | — |
| cryptoqan0n0xcc78…d202 | No | 22 | 92.4¢ | $20 | — |
| baikong0xe19a…a07f | No | 20 | 92.4¢ | $19 | — |
| dafa290x77e5…883b | No | 17 | 92.4¢ | $16 | — |
| hrdhgr0x4a99…e45c | No | 17 | 89.5¢ | $16 | — |
| guangchao0x2ed0…2bc4 | No | 16 | 92.4¢ | $15 | Break-even+$0.11 per $100 · 549 bets |
| huwievnwiiew0x2fdd…e440 | No | 11 | 90.4¢ | $10 | — |
| bipbipbop0xc4d5…87cf | Yes | 157 | 8.8¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.76 per $100 · 6,854 bets |
| WanderingPanda0x74ff…be5b | Yes | 153 | 9.4¢ | $9 | — |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | 149 | 8.9¢ | $9 | — |
| Qatalyst0x65f7…86dd | Yes | 140 | 7.2¢ | $8 | — |
| oboltusovao0x4a67…65c8 | Yes | 135 | 11.1¢ | $8 | — |
| reefv0x8d2c…465d | Yes | 130 | 8.0¢ | $8 | — |
| Demet3r0x40e6…459f | Yes | 100 | 5.6¢ | $6 | — |
| amy8880xc3cf…51d2 | Yes | 100 | 6.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x482f…53f7 | Yes | 42 | 12.5¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xa123…3fd6 | Yes | 42 | 12.6¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xcd0f…2154 | Yes | 37 | 12.2¢ | $2 | — |
| Balfang0x58b9…e3ca | Yes | 31 | 8.4¢ | $2 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 9.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| goodman-10xb575…87ec | Yes | 30 | 8.0¢ | $2 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 2 | 91.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 20 | 10.3¢ | $1 | — |
| whereismymoney0x6d6b…0420 | Yes | 20 | 11.0¢ | $1 | — |
| google0030x8fc2…78bb | No | 1 | 91.4¢ | $1 | — |
| Etherapp0x9fac…3e5a | Yes | 15 | 13.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x546a…1988 | Yes | 12 | 9.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.15 per $100 · 42,787+ bets · updating |
| mmy260x19da…82aa | Yes | 12 | 5.6¢ | $1 | — |
| bbd113d0x3c7b…6863 | Yes | 10 | 7.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 3,847 bets |
| ddaasdf0x9209…a393 | Yes | 10 | 10.0¢ | $1 | — |
| LuckyMANNN0x59a1…a8d1 | Yes | 6 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| h40lzqzm0xeffd…5aa6 | Yes | 4 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 3 | 6.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.66 per $100 · 14,761 bets |
| polijet0x9268…fb13 | Yes | 2 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 0 | 91.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,679 bets |
| 0x6fbc…fa10 | Yes | 1 | 9.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.87 per $100 · 1,441 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 91 overlapping windows · 10 events · $720K in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.