Market · 2 of 9 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 16:14 UTC. Not financial advice.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $720K in play
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PredictionYogi0x6964…ef53 | No | 5,385 | 99.9¢ | $5.38K | Break-even+$0.43 per $100 · 4,463 bets |
| 0x3d63…1b7f | No | 4,091 | 99.0¢ | $4.09K | — |
| tianjiyuyunzhilu0xc757…ccfc | No | 3,740 | 99.8¢ | $3.74K | — |
| misaki0x912d…5f1a | No | 2,292 | 95.2¢ | $2.29K | — |
| carboyant0xe6c6…77b7 | No | 2,244 | 99.4¢ | $2.24K | — |
| AndreaPirlo0x09b4…e56d | No | 2,141 | 99.9¢ | $2.14K | — |
| ym-mzt10x9661…bdc6 | No | 1,950 | 95.5¢ | $1.95K | — |
| Espagan0xfd7f…c0ce | No | 1,367 | 91.9¢ | $1.37K | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 1,000 | 95.4¢ | $999 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,020 bets |
| ym-hh-mjf0xb0a9…3a2b | No | 826 | 98.1¢ | $826 | — |
| fishpapav0x9cea…a932 | No | 509 | 80.3¢ | $509 | — |
| 0xb307…c802 | No | 430 | 94.3¢ | $430 | — |
| BernandoNaty0xfab3…dee0 | No | 300 | 77.9¢ | $300 | — |
| tarklis0x5f65…61a9 | No | 153 | 98.1¢ | $153 | — |
| 0x8673…59a5 | No | 134 | 75.4¢ | $134 | — |
| Iryna2k0x6da8…ec45 | No | 115 | 87.6¢ | $115 | Break-even+$0.81 per $100 · 862 bets |
| 0x2c3d…f703 | No | 105 | 76.4¢ | $105 | — |
| Poligarch0xb40e…7cc9 | No | 100 | 83.5¢ | $100 | Break-even+$0.94 per $100 · 60,365+ bets · updating |
| exponentially0xa2d7…e3b7 | No | 60 | 92.7¢ | $60 | — |
| Bokich0x378d…a852 | No | 56 | 93.0¢ | $56 | — |
| howi-10x1de4…070a | No | 54 | 95.2¢ | $54 | — |
| GodsPlant0x574c…2df6 | No | 54 | 93.3¢ | $54 | — |
| sdssds0x813f…26ec | No | 40 | 69.0¢ | $40 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 34 | 78.0¢ | $34 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,282 bets |
| gordontradedc0x04a2…e16c | No | 18 | 69.0¢ | $18 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 16 | 88.6¢ | $16 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| FenceStradler0xb6db…e8a7 | No | 15 | 96.2¢ | $15 | — |
| Staticglasshouse0x6580…96e5 | No | 13 | 75.9¢ | $13 | — |
| Yierpanda0x564b…ab75 | No | 12 | 95.2¢ | $12 | — |
| Winchesterleigh0xd5c5…cc0b | No | 11 | 79.8¢ | $11 | — |
| sandw0x00cd…9e15 | No | 11 | 94.3¢ | $11 | — |
| WanderingPanda0x74ff…be5b | No | 11 | 92.9¢ | $11 | — |
| Calliopejoy0x1d55…c35a | No | 10 | 77.9¢ | $10 | — |
| asdfsadfddd0x0be6…caa6 | No | 10 | 67.0¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 7,880 bets |
| jzr090x3d3a…53ff | No | 10 | 71.1¢ | $10 | — |
| lll918dd0x6250…f49a | No | 10 | 67.0¢ | $10 | Proven+$2.63 per $100 · 3,025 bets |
| aaabbasdfcc0x8b30…876e | No | 9 | 73.0¢ | $9 | — |
| CiciBooster0x3bed…acf1 | No | 8 | 71.0¢ | $8 | — |
| XerebusX0xaf5f…83ae | No | 7 | 75.9¢ | $7 | — |
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 13,228 | 13.2¢ | $7 | Losing−$1.11 per $100 · 2,223 bets |
| cjie18880x628c…8692 | No | 6 | 81.8¢ | $6 | — |
| jokerZz90x7eb5…40dc | No | 5 | 93.3¢ | $5 | — |
| tsklee0x8cef…6b6d | No | 5 | 94.3¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x02df…222f | No | 5 | 98.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xca0c…b9b6 | No | 5 | 88.5¢ | $5 | — |
| InsideR50x17f1…0528 | Yes | 7,000 | 2.6¢ | $3 | — |
| ddd13421b0x1292…b00b | No | 3 | 94.7¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 9,059 bets |
| broitsravi0x7413…4b09 | Yes | 5,318 | 2.8¢ | $3 | — |
| welcometowinnercircle0x88b2…e1d1 | Yes | 4,591 | 12.5¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.67 per $100 · 299 bets |
| Sugarina0x8288…5519 | Yes | 3,300 | 7.3¢ | $2 | — |
| Mr-Lucker0xaee7…37fe | Yes | 3,288 | 7.3¢ | $2 | — |
| RickRockRick0x35f3…cfd0 | Yes | 2,834 | 5.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Kaiji1230xe5bd…339a | Yes | 2,590 | 7.3¢ | $1 | — |
| stompychan0x79cb…331e | Yes | 2,418 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.25 per $100 · 39,976 bets |
| amy8880xc3cf…51d2 | Yes | 2,194 | 25.9¢ | $1 | — |
| yangleduoduo0xe243…af59 | Yes | 2,000 | 5.5¢ | $1 | — |
| lolboy4D0xce40…da67 | Yes | 2,000 | 6.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x7cd4…30ae | Yes | 1,452 | 8.3¢ | $1 | — |
| Shampooo0x032a…cf07 | Yes | 1,014 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$45.41 per $100 · 1,604 bets |
| ShivaLemire0x90f1…72c6 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.7¢ | $1 | — |
| ihrekunst0xc5e8…8354 | Yes | 1,000 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Badekarret0xe343…23fd | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Hiohigs0x4f8d…99c7 | Yes | 810 | 2.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Kamenshyk220x93fd…7e2f | Yes | 800 | 22.1¢ | $0 | — |
| exp7incher0x29b5…a992 | Yes | 700 | 5.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Rizh0x9255…6e3b | Yes | 600 | 3.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Fuadkrm70x77d5…eace | Yes | 550 | 1.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x456a…6105 | Yes | 500 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Feracios0xb816…9e90 | Yes | 500 | 11.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Mommy0070xdc36…8542 | Yes | 500 | 20.0¢ | $0 | — |
| AmiteshGupta0x0ee7…6fa6 | Yes | 473 | 1.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Oboltusova0xfb2b…cadf | Yes | 450 | 6.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Jackybrown0x7505…2978 | Yes | 446 | 9.6¢ | $0 | — |
| bbccJ0x828e…c21b | Yes | 439 | 8.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Kalkay110x6a1b…fbbd | Yes | 400 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| ithinkthisisloser0x31f2…f75f | Yes | 399 | 6.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5a4a…7b72 | Yes | 369 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Sidjjdjdjdjdj0x3f38…d186 | Yes | 338 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| LUD0MAN1AC0x3cca…c831 | Yes | 250 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd17a…3eac | Yes | 250 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| ElonSimp0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | 217 | 1.8¢ | $0 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 209 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 123,902+ bets · updating |
| Showlin-0xdd1f…cc26 | Yes | 205 | 26.2¢ | $0 | — |
| mqpcd0x0503…0743 | Yes | 200 | 2.7¢ | $0 | — |
| bbynepo0x37b6…661f | Yes | 195 | 21.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x7787…d002 | Yes | 188 | 16.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf452…8ff9 | Yes | 172 | 17.4¢ | $0 | — |
| captainzhang0xc8f0…835c | Yes | 167 | 7.5¢ | $0 | — |
| MartinPNZ0xe130…4006 | Yes | 164 | 9.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xccb7…e922 | Yes | 160 | 9.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Trumppicker0x8032…7c6c | Yes | 159 | 22.8¢ | $0 | — |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | 150 | 28.7¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420240x391d…def1 | Yes | 147 | 7.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.11 per $100 · 9,815 bets |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 136 | 0.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 102 | 5.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| zxcursed1210x945a…a48c | Yes | 21 | 17.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.77 per $100 · 77,753+ bets · updating |
1 account bets both sides equally · 5 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.