Market
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 21:06 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 10,940 | 9.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.11 per $100 · 2,223 bets |
| ihrekunst0xc5e8…8354 | Yes | 5,082 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| RickRockRick0x35f3…cfd0 | Yes | 3,000 | 5.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Sugarina0x8288…5519 | Yes | 3,000 | 5.6¢ | $0 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 1,784 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.92 per $100 · 158,667+ bets · updating |
| Mei-ji0x2924…dcde | Yes | 1,640 | 12.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 1,352 | 8.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.02 per $100 · 18,907 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1,111 | 8.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,944 bets |
| exp7incher0x29b5…a992 | Yes | 700 | 5.6¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 554 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Etherapp0x9fac…3e5a | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| MartinPNZ0xe130…4006 | Yes | 500 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 360 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,469 bets |
| 0x90d7…5cb7 | Yes | 350 | 5.6¢ | $0 | — |
| oboltusovao0x4a67…65c8 | Yes | 300 | 11.1¢ | $0 | — |
| mel270x6afe…f266 | Yes | 244 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| SupremeGambler0xf2bf…66c7 | Yes | 240 | 11.1¢ | $0 | — |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | Yes | 183 | 9.9¢ | $0 | — |
| ComradeCat0x60ec…8d4c | Yes | 152 | 10.3¢ | $0 | — |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 150 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.38 per $100 · 41,591+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 121 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 124,233+ bets · updating |
| liq20x3423…fe57 | Yes | 116 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 104 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.73 per $100 · 43,120 bets |
| Raline230x325b…f1ee | Yes | 100 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Qatalyst0x65f7…86dd | Yes | 100 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Demet3r0x40e6…459f | Yes | 95 | 5.6¢ | $0 | — |
| lin202610x3a22…7407 | Yes | 71 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$35.67 per $100 · 274 bets |
| akla270x5993…a32d | Yes | 71 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$37.53 per $100 · 318 bets |
| zerone7770xe949…dea6 | Yes | 71 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$36.27 per $100 · 616 bets |
| Likaseent0x227f…a574 | Yes | 56 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| kaxel780xc1b5…5d85 | Yes | 54 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| akroll0x8bac…35ca | Yes | 52 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0bdb…baca | Yes | 36 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 21 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| xamel270x242c…fbe8 | Yes | 20 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$38.72 per $100 · 154 bets |
| whereismymoney0x6d6b…0420 | Yes | 20 | 10.8¢ | $0 | — |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 20 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | 14 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| mmy260x19da…82aa | Yes | 12 | 5.6¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 10 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$503.23 per $100 · 49,800+ bets · updating |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.76 per $100 · 26,465 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 91 overlapping windows · 10 events · $768K in play