Market · 8 of 9 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:22 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CakeBake0x9d80…fcaf | No | 1,468 | 99.9¢ | $1.47K | — |
| wegsdxsdhtf20xe33f…4be5 | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 10,940 | 9.9¢ | $5 | Losing−$1.11 per $100 · 2,223 bets |
| uo99980x0b05…8983 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| FGH5450x12df…a21b | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| DFHG40x15eb…980d | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| DFBVE0x1c50…b4c7 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| CRE40x1c7f…5377 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| RT4650x2479…deed | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x2bcc…a218 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| GHF5Y0x2c66…40a1 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | No | 5 | 99.3¢ | $5 | — |
| wxcong0x38e8…db25 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| vip999990x3b42…229e | No | 5 | 99.0¢ | $5 | — |
| weewdf0x444d…58bf | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| HJBVVV60x457c…5e89 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| GFD40x4d12…728b | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| 5RE40x4efd…d195 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| GERTVT430x5053…0bdf | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| lllPPPO0x55f7…30d4 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| DFERT40x5862…792a | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| CVB40x5984…fda9 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| DCBE0x59ae…6408 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| RTGFH54650x5a7a…95ee | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| GBVT43TY0x5da5…56ac | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| EDFD30x6961…be88 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| HG54E0x760d…35ab | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| DFTD0x7726…1620 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| DFE34G0x7a6d…3a8c | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| GHF30x82b9…18f1 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| GFVGT430x8599…da77 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| DFEERT0x87dd…40b7 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| D43T0x87ec…866f | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| EREW30x8962…f0ae | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| SXCE40x953e…2798 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| wsfd0x96de…3983 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| HGFRT4650x9812…d115 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| GBVT4350x9c13…ef84 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| DVGRT4650x9eb5…90e5 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| oppppop0x9ee7…e901 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| 653RT4650xa0df…b071 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| IOPOL0xa81b…9d44 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| XCVE30xb30c…126e | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| GBVT43340xbfd2…cbe0 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| GFJHTR0xc4eb…3be6 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| GFHTRY0xc512…6d3d | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| EWRS30xc5be…a275 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| GFD5D0xcdfe…46d8 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| DFG45560xcf09…cd17 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| DFSE450xd0f9…db0a | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xd6aa…fc15 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| ihrekunst0xc5e8…8354 | Yes | 5,082 | 0.1¢ | $3 | — |
| welcometowinnercircle0x88b2…e1d1 | Yes | 4,591 | 12.5¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.67 per $100 · 299 bets |
| Kaiji1230xe5bd…339a | Yes | 3,500 | 5.6¢ | $2 | — |
| RickRockRick0x35f3…cfd0 | Yes | 3,000 | 5.6¢ | $2 | — |
| Sugarina0x8288…5519 | Yes | 3,000 | 5.6¢ | $2 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 1,784 | 10.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.69 per $100 · 144,760+ bets · updating |
| Mei-ji0x2924…dcde | Yes | 1,640 | 12.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 1,352 | 8.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$7.95 per $100 · 18,827 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1,111 | 8.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,746 bets |
| stompychan0x79cb…331e | Yes | 900 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.25 per $100 · 39,976 bets |
| exp7incher0x29b5…a992 | Yes | 700 | 5.6¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 554 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Etherapp0x9fac…3e5a | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| MartinPNZ0xe130…4006 | Yes | 500 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 360 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,469 bets |
| 0x90d7…5cb7 | Yes | 350 | 5.6¢ | $0 | — |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | Yes | 317 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 22,277 bets |
| oboltusovao0x4a67…65c8 | Yes | 300 | 11.1¢ | $0 | — |
| mel270x6afe…f266 | Yes | 244 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 244 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,988 bets |
| SupremeGambler0xf2bf…66c7 | Yes | 240 | 11.1¢ | $0 | — |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | Yes | 183 | 9.9¢ | $0 | — |
| ComradeCat0x60ec…8d4c | Yes | 152 | 10.3¢ | $0 | — |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 150 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.38 per $100 · 41,591+ bets · updating |
| lpgb0x1f5f…50fa | Yes | 148 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 144 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.13 per $100 · 58,633+ bets · updating |
| 0xd32c…a4c2 | Yes | 142 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.64 per $100 · 3,807 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 121 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.59 per $100 · 123,775 bets |
| liq20x3423…fe57 | Yes | 116 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 104 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.73 per $100 · 43,120 bets |
| Raline230x325b…f1ee | Yes | 100 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Qatalyst0x65f7…86dd | Yes | 100 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Demet3r0x40e6…459f | Yes | 95 | 5.6¢ | $0 | — |
| lin202610x3a22…7407 | Yes | 71 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$35.67 per $100 · 274 bets |
| akla270x5993…a32d | Yes | 71 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$37.53 per $100 · 318 bets |
| zerone7770xe949…dea6 | Yes | 71 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$36.27 per $100 · 616 bets |
| Likaseent0x227f…a574 | Yes | 56 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| kaxel780xc1b5…5d85 | Yes | 54 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| akroll0x8bac…35ca | Yes | 52 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9495…468f | Yes | 48 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.13 per $100 · 12,822 bets |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 41 | 5.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0bdb…baca | Yes | 36 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 21 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| xamel270x242c…fbe8 | Yes | 20 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$38.72 per $100 · 154 bets |
| whereismymoney0x6d6b…0420 | Yes | 20 | 10.8¢ | $0 | — |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 20 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Sell.Max0xc13d…4bda | Yes | 18 | 10.6¢ | $0 | — |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | 15 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | 14 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $720K in play
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.