Market · 3 of 3 outcomes
Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:47 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olcan0x355e…a038 | No | 761 | 55.5¢ | $475 | Proven+$6.23 per $100 · 4,942 bets |
| maritime63070x5c29…358e | No | 726 | 52.7¢ | $454 | Losing |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Contentious-Dinnerdate0x7365…64da | No | 500 | 70.0¢ | $313 | Proven+$12.92 per $100 · 1,201 bets |
| crop?0xe308…309c | Yes | 819 | 33.7¢ | $307 | — |
| 0x4f71…1721 | Yes | 280 | 38.4¢ | $105 | — |
| 0xc8c9…a94a | Yes | 240 | 36.7¢ | $90 | New65 settled bets |
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 95 events · $6.03M in play