Market · 3 of 3 outcomes
Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 02:58 UTC. Not financial advice.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 103 events · $6.09M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olcan0x355e…a038 | No | 1,763 | 61.8¢ | $1.16K | Proven+$6.27 per $100 · 4,948 bets |
| Contentious-Dinnerdate0x7365…64da | No | 500 | 70.0¢ | $330 | Proven+$13.02 per $100 · 1,204 bets |
| crop?0xe308…309c | Yes | 819 | 33.7¢ | $279 | — |
| Gaby990x3d74…b519 | Yes | 370 | 33.2¢ | $126 | New9 settled bets |
| 0xc8c9…a94a | Yes | 280 | 36.1¢ | $95 | New65 settled bets |
| 0x4f71…1721 | Yes | 280 | 38.4¢ | $95 | — |
| maritime63070x5c29…358e | No | 92 | 52.7¢ | $61 | Losing−$13.38 per $100 · 117 bets |
| parameter10xae91…0f69 | No | 58 | 60.2¢ | $39 | — |
| 0x0fa2…05aa | Yes | 102 | 35.9¢ | $35 | Proven+$11.41 per $100 · 723 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 100 | 36.0¢ | $34 | Losing−$2.50 per $100 · 124,565+ bets · updating |
| robert-mukhametov0x0e6b…3a4c | No | 52 | 71.8¢ | $34 | Break-even+$0.02 per $100 · 2,006 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 50 | 74.0¢ | $33 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| 0x8df9…468c | Yes | 90 | 34.2¢ | $31 | — |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | Yes | 81 | 35.0¢ | $28 | Losing−$3.30 per $100 · 5,059 bets |
| rpontici0x34af…bd55 | Yes | 65 | 36.7¢ | $22 | Break-even+$0.59 per $100 · 1,163 bets |
| mystery0x323d…781c | Yes | 50 | 30.0¢ | $17 | Proven+$2.80 per $100 · 680 bets |
| Malganis0x4bf4…7021 | Yes | 50 | 44.0¢ | $17 | Break-even+$0.33 per $100 · 3,303 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 47 | 39.0¢ | $16 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,318 bets |
| filepin0x718b…1bf2 | No | 21 | 66.9¢ | $14 | — |
| 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | 40 | 36.0¢ | $14 | — |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | Yes | 40 | 34.5¢ | $14 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| gigi-yolo0x6f9e…ec32 | No | 20 | 62.0¢ | $13 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 34 | 36.2¢ | $12 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 47.0¢ | $10 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| ogi2500x3373…3716 | Yes | 25 | 31.0¢ | $9 | — |
| needleladder0x4462…bfdf | Yes | 20 | 35.0¢ | $7 | — |
| bbd113d0x3c7b…6863 | No | 10 | 66.0¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 3,847 bets |
| ddaasdf0x9209…a393 | No | 10 | 67.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x9953…51f6 | No | 10 | 70.0¢ | $7 | — |
| ddadsf0x9d17…c777 | No | 10 | 67.0¢ | $7 | — |
| sadfsadf0xd47c…c70a | No | 10 | 66.0¢ | $7 | — |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | No | 9 | 65.9¢ | $6 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | Yes | 15 | 38.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$7.33 per $100 · 5,354 bets |
| 0x3893…743e | Yes | 14 | 43.0¢ | $5 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 13 | 35.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| asdf112d0x839f…ecba | Yes | 10 | 36.0¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 3,502 bets |
| UpTheStairs0x8bac…5b0e | Yes | 10 | 46.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Agecanonix0xe068…c5ea | Yes | 10 | 66.3¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | 5 | 70.0¢ | $3 | — |
| zxcursed1210x945a…a48c | No | 4 | 54.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$5.77 per $100 · 77,753+ bets · updating |
| TRADER4200x80cf…614d | Yes | 8 | 35.0¢ | $3 | Proven+$8.29 per $100 · 270 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 6 | 36.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| james7rjames7r0x8692…f6c8 | Yes | 6 | 35.9¢ | $2 | — |
| isnE4ZgjkP3nxh0xdb9c…483d | No | 3 | 71.8¢ | $2 | — |
| thetaken0xe526…a0ef | Yes | 5 | 44.0¢ | $2 | — |
| winexecutescale0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | 4 | 36.3¢ | $1 | — |
| nonc0xf804…d2b7 | Yes | 3 | 35.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Welcome20260x1073…d8ba | No | 1 | 72.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 2 | 38.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,989 bets |
| brra0x9435…91fd | Yes | 0 | 48.1¢ | $0 | — |
| T222222222220xea7f…b855 | No | 0 | 63.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 0 | 35.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.