Market · 1 of 3 outcomes
Claude 6 released by December 31, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:32 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| yoyobb20180x832b…5c91 | Yes | 293 | 87.5¢ | $271 | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,007 bets |
| NeevS0x30b2…1a36 | Yes | 100 | 89.8¢ | $93 | Break-even+$0.73 per $100 · 755 bets |
| clanker10000xa164…4686 | Yes | 61 | 91.3¢ | $56 | — |
| 0xc8c9…a94a | Yes | 50 | 93.3¢ | $46 | New65 settled bets |
| Johnny-Worker0x7ee6…6eb1 | No | 141 | 15.6¢ | $11 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 10 | 83.0¢ | $9 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 97 events · $6.03M in play