Market · 1 of 3 outcomes
Claude 6 released by December 31, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:24 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| yoyobb20180x832b…5c91 | Yes | 293 | 87.5¢ | $271 | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,008 bets |
| NeevS0x30b2…1a36 | Yes | 100 | 89.8¢ | $93 | Break-even+$0.73 per $100 · 755 bets |
| clanker10000xa164…4686 | Yes | 61 | 91.3¢ | $56 | — |
| 0xc8c9…a94a | Yes | 50 | 93.3¢ | $46 | New65 settled bets |
| Johnny-Worker0x7ee6…6eb1 | No | 141 | 15.6¢ | $11 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 10 | 83.0¢ | $9 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 117 | 12.1¢ | $9 | Losing−$2.63 per $100 · 123,481+ bets · updating |
| wildboar080xb260…9d59 | Yes | 5 | 91.3¢ | $5 | — |
| Podublin0xb4a3…c352 | No | 55 | 14.1¢ | $4 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 55 | 19.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | No | 46 | 26.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| 0xd38f…bf78 | No | 36 | 7.0¢ | $3 | — |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | No | 21 | 14.5¢ | $2 | — |
| Juzy0x020c…f6c9 | No | 20 | 20.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xc8a0…6c71 | No | 20 | 19.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | No | 6 | 19.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 1 | 18.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.04M in play