Market · 2 of 3 outcomes
Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:47 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| proK20260x89e2…9a48 | Yes | 700 | 57.0¢ | $508 | — |
| doitwise0x0b81…b9fb | Yes | 580 | 63.7¢ | $420 | — |
| Olcan0x355e…a038 | No | 924 | 30.8¢ | $254 | Proven+$6.23 per $100 · 4,942 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 97 | 67.8¢ | $70 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| Contentious-Dinnerdate0x7365…64da | No | 164 | 40.0¢ | $45 | Proven+$12.92 per $100 · 1,201 bets |
| 0xc8c9…a94a | Yes | 60 | 70.8¢ | $44 | New65 settled bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 95 events · $6.03M in play