Market · 2 of 3 outcomes
Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:46 UTC. Not financial advice.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 95 events · $6.03M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Yes |
| 700 |
| 57.0¢ |
| $508 |
| — |
| doitwise0x0b81…b9fb | Yes | 580 | 63.7¢ | $420 | — |
| Olcan0x355e…a038 | No | 924 | 30.8¢ | $254 | Proven+$6.23 per $100 · 4,942 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 97 | 67.8¢ | $70 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| Contentious-Dinnerdate0x7365…64da | No | 164 | 40.0¢ | $45 | Proven+$12.92 per $100 · 1,201 bets |
| 0xc8c9…a94a | Yes | 60 | 70.8¢ | $44 | New65 settled bets |
| 0x29ef…ddda | Yes | 55 | 65.9¢ | $40 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 118 | 32.2¢ | $32 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 88 | 46.9¢ | $24 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| Fluo0x2b34…b202 | No | 80 | 53.0¢ | $22 | — |
| alepsaurio7770xa0f0…f07b | Yes | 20 | 60.2¢ | $15 | — |
| wildboar080xb260…9d59 | Yes | 16 | 62.0¢ | $12 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 13 | 69.0¢ | $9 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 30 | 53.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | No | 30 | 39.0¢ | $8 | — |
| james7rjames7r0x8692…f6c8 | Yes | 10 | 72.8¢ | $7 | — |
| LonelyScissors0x460b…9894 | No | 23 | 26.4¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xlongtermer0x2154…9ba8 | Yes | 9 | 60.0¢ | $6 | — |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | No | 20 | 35.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$3.71 per $100 · 4,954 bets |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | No | 20 | 53.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$3.37 per $100 · 13,656 bets |
| f44-40x6d8f…aef9 | No | 20 | 52.0¢ | $6 | — |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | No | 20 | 35.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| robert-mukhametov0x0e6b…3a4c | No | 15 | 41.6¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.02 per $100 · 2,006 bets |
| mkml0xf1f9…d09d | Yes | 5 | 60.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xa84e…2abf | No | 7 | 43.0¢ | $2 | — |
| xixihaha0090xf17d…6f86 | Yes | 2 | 68.9¢ | $1 | — |
| isnE4ZgjkP3nxh0xdb9c…483d | No | 5 | 40.0¢ | $1 | — |
| MrIdiotPigeon0x172a…9bff | Yes | 2 | 71.8¢ | $1 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | No | 3 | 38.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| NotJump0xf1f2…8c8d | No | 2 | 53.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.08 per $100 · 30,006+ bets · updating |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 45.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| yoyobb20180x832b…5c91 | Yes | 0 | 60.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,007 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 0 | 72.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| M4rketm4ker0x791f…e166 | No | 0 | 52.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.