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Topic · Geopolitics
1 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
0.0% of Polymarket
Events · markets
1 · 1
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
3 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Jan 1
in 81 days
| Event | Leading outcome | Chance | This week | Money in play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine election held by...? | No | 96.4¢ | up 0.5 points this week | $30.4K |
Yes minus No · across the 1 main markets
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 23:09 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Outsmarter0x1b60…a55b | No on December 31, 2026 | $7.5K | Proven+$28.81 per $100 · 152 bets |
| EPunx0x4f00…7add | No on December 31, 2026 | $3.5K | Losing−$3.09 per $100 · 274 bets |
| zve3da0xc948…33a1 | No on December 31, 2026 | $1.1K | New44 bets |
| cqs0xdfe3…73c4 | No on December 31, 2026 | $1.1K | Proven+$3.66 per $100 · 401 bets |
| darkus0x88fe…f516 | No on December 31, 2026 | $1.0K | – |
| wuxia-world0xaddc…6e43 | No on December 31, 2026 | $576 | – |
| WeJustBettin0xf6c6…7d80 | No on December 31, 2026 | $512 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 735 bets |
| DumplingBMF0x8f69…7df1 | No on December 31, 2026 | $482 | Proven+$2.52 per $100 · 3,946 bets |
| TaylorDorsey28310xee2c…f08a | No on December 31, 2026 | $371 | – |
| sapintegration0xf8d9…08d2 | No on December 31, 2026 | $335 | – |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.