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Topic · Geopolitics
1 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
0.0% of Polymarket
Events · markets
1 · 1
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
3 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Jan 1
in 81 days
Proven traders lean No on December 31, 2026 · 3 of the top 10 books. Proven means 100+ settled bets, more than $2 made per $100 and beating the odds when held.
Yes minus No · across the 1 main markets
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Outsmarter0x1b60…a55b | No on December 31, 2026 | $7.5K | Proven+$28.81 per $100 · 152 bets |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 01:20 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| EPunx0x4f00…7add |
| No on December 31, 2026 |
| $3.5K |
| Losing−$3.09 per $100 · 274 bets |
| zve3da0xc948…33a1 | No on December 31, 2026 | $1.1K | New44 bets |
| cqs0xdfe3…73c4 | No on December 31, 2026 | $1.1K | Proven+$3.66 per $100 · 401 bets |
| darkus0x88fe…f516 | No on December 31, 2026 | $1.0K | – |
| wuxia-world0xaddc…6e43 | No on December 31, 2026 | $576 | – |
| WeJustBettin0xf6c6…7d80 | No on December 31, 2026 | $512 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 735 bets |
| DumplingBMF0x8f69…7df1 | No on December 31, 2026 | $482 | Proven+$2.52 per $100 · 3,946 bets |
| TaylorDorsey28310xee2c…f08a | No on December 31, 2026 | $371 | – |
| sapintegration0xf8d9…08d2 | No on December 31, 2026 | $335 | – |
| Lucasghghgv0x4db5…56c3 | No on December 31, 2026 | $330 | – |
| Samuelge0x9dd3…f681 | No on December 31, 2026 | $330 | – |
| MatthewVelasquez83480xb6ee…9238 | No on December 31, 2026 | $321 | – |
| Ethanuu0xe604…9e87 | No on December 31, 2026 | $306 | – |
| Sebastianuyuyuy0xfb11…8126 | No on December 31, 2026 | $303 | – |
| Masonuyuyuy0x3448…30b0 | No on December 31, 2026 | $301 | – |
| Henryghghg0xebdc…c3a5 | No on December 31, 2026 | $286 | – |
| Levige0x5053…538d | No on December 31, 2026 | $281 | – |
| Mica10x8637…9657 | No on December 31, 2026 | $268 | – |
| jrmafik0x7267…c7dd | No on December 31, 2026 | $237 | – |
| felbax0xa4bd…9bdb | December 31, 2026 | $103 | New4 bets |
| 0x0dcb…a7b4 | December 31, 2026 | $92 | – |
| NoaGGHH0x8641…d047 | December 31, 2026 | $80 | – |
| TANGO8530x70ca…2443 | December 31, 2026 | $54 | – |
| 0xf5e4…471a | December 31, 2026 | $44 | – |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.