Market
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:17 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outsmarter0x1b60…a55b | No | 7,824 | 90.6¢ | $7.54K | Proven+$28.81 per $100 · 152 bets |
| EPunx0x4f00…7add | No | 3,591 | 79.0¢ | $3.46K | Losing |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| zve3da0xc948…33a1 | No | 1,100 | 90.9¢ | $1.06K | New44 settled bets |
| cqs0xdfe3…73c4 | No | 1,100 | 68.7¢ | $1.06K | Proven+$3.66 per $100 · 401 bets |
| darkus0x88fe…f516 | No | 1,055 | 95.9¢ | $1.02K | — |
| wuxia-world0xaddc…6e43 | No | 597 | 88.6¢ | $576 | — |