Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 03:30 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xf80e…2af8 | No | 184 | 66.4¢ | $126 | Proven+$16.72 per $100 · 124 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 106 | 70.3¢ | $73 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 125,476+ bets · updating |
| EsperanzasDESTROYER0x2128…f203 | Yes | 137 | 34.1¢ | $43 | — |
| bakayo33 - 99340x343d…cd2e | Yes | 100 | 25.0¢ | $32 | Positive+$2.10 per $100 · 988 bets |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | Yes | 67 | 19.5¢ | $21 | Proven+$5.91 per $100 · 7,365 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 14 | 81.0¢ | $9 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,471 bets |
| Pilatuspirat0x2f2c…fa0f | No | 12 | 83.6¢ | $8 | — |
| 0xd8fa…581f | Yes | 8 | 34.9¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xca75…0a64 | No | 3 | 70.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x7413…67a5 | Yes | 6 | 34.9¢ | $2 | — |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 2 | 30.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 0 | 29.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 79.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| scalerr0xe50e…45c5 | Yes | 0 | 22.7¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 15 events · $62.8M in play