Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 02:01 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xf80e…2af8 | No | 184 | 66.4¢ | $126 | Proven+$16.72 per $100 · 124 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 106 | 70.3¢ | $73 | Losing |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| EsperanzasDESTROYER0x2128…f203 | Yes | 137 | 34.1¢ | $43 | — |
| bakayo33 - 99340x343d…cd2e | Yes | 100 | 25.0¢ | $32 | Positive+$2.10 per $100 · 988 bets |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | Yes | 67 | 19.5¢ | $21 | Proven+$5.91 per $100 · 7,365 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 14 | 81.0¢ | $9 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,471 bets |
US 2028 presidential race · 15 events · $62.8M in play