Market · 3 of 4 outcomes
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 19:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 66.6¢ | +45.6 pts |
| $10,000 | 79.4¢ | Not enough on offer |
| $100,000 | 79.4¢ | Not enough on offer |
| $500,000 | 79.4¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 13¢.
About $4 can be bought and $13 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 21.0¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 19:43 UTC.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 111 events · $6.14M in play