Market · 2 of 4 outcomes
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 18:28 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 82.8¢ | +2.3 pts |
| $10,000 | 93.4¢ | Not enough on offer |
| $100,000 | 93.4¢ | Not enough on offer |
| $500,000 | 93.4¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 79¢.
About $1.2K can be bought and $131 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 80.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 18:27 UTC.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 111 events · $6.12M in play