Market · 4 of 4 outcomes
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 04:56 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 41.7¢ | +22.2 pts |
| $10,000 | 86.9¢ | +67.4 pts |
| $100,000 | 89.2¢ | Not enough on offer |
| $500,000 | 89.2¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 19¢.
About $315 can be bought and $178 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 19.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 04:56 UTC.
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