Market · 5 of 9 outcomes
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.95% in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:18 UTC. Not financial advice.
2-Year Treasury Yield · October 2026 · 1 event · $3.91K in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 122 | 49.8¢ | $79 | — |
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | No | 64 | 50.2¢ | $41 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| 0x36cd…89b6 | No | 60 | 45.2¢ | $39 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 85 | 53.4¢ | $30 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 123,693+ bets · updating |
| radeksaturka0xa98c…5173 | Yes | 58 | 68.0¢ | $21 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 40 | 69.0¢ | $14 | — |
| tiongbu0xb777…3ff9 | No | 21 | 49.0¢ | $14 | — |
| SuperTests0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | 35 | 53.2¢ | $12 | Proven+$3.40 per $100 · 1,020 bets |
| 7figtc0x6a90…c2e3 | Yes | 33 | 45.2¢ | $12 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 16 | 48.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| financegaaaydog0xe2a3…8e01 | Yes | 22 | 68.0¢ | $8 | — |
| alamedamemola0x037b…a36f | Yes | 20 | 30.3¢ | $7 | — |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 20 | 38.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| ddadsf0x9d17…c777 | No | 10 | 51.0¢ | $6 | — |
| sadfsadf0xd47c…c70a | No | 10 | 51.0¢ | $6 | — |
| cosmicsteaks0xf4f8…5bf1 | No | 5 | 63.2¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x51ae…ce30 | No | 5 | 45.5¢ | $3 | — |
| just-bettor0xa742…9856 | No | 3 | 50.0¢ | $2 | — |
| treazures0x44bf…c04c | Yes | 2 | 49.2¢ | $1 | — |
| cpctbusiness0x8807…d08a | Yes | 1 | 53.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Vagabund970xa53b…4021 | Yes | 0 | 51.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.