Market · 2 of 9 outcomes
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.86% in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:50 UTC. Not financial advice.
2-Year Treasury Yield · October 2026 · 1 event · $3.91K in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 30 | 80.0¢ | $22 | — |
| 0x51ae…ce30 | Yes | 30 | 74.4¢ | $22 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 20 | 24.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.76 per $100 · 122,728 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 20 | 21.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 16 | 21.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| needleladder0x4462…bfdf | No | 4 | 22.0¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.