Loading this topic
Topic · Macro
9 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
0.0% of Polymarket
Events · markets
1 · 9
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
1 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Nov 1
in 21 days
| Event | Leading outcome | Chance | This week | Money in play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October? | 4.92% | 75.5¢ | up 11 points this week | $3.9K |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:54 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
Yes minus No · across the 7 main markets
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| commeowder0xd06f…d4a6 | No on 5.15% · How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October | $1.8K | Proven+$3.25 per $100 · 2,064 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | 5.15% · How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October | $340 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 122,975 bets |
| rar1110x1bb7…543b | No on 5.25% · How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October | $164 | – |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No on 4.95% · How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October | $158 | – |
| financegaaaydog0xe2a3…8e01 | No on 5.05% · How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October | $146 | – |
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | 5.05% · How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October | $92 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| sunnynotbunny0x4d02…2ad3 | No on 5.10% · How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October | $89 | – |
| 1walrus0x6560…e164 | No on 5.15% · How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October | $69 | Positive+$1.87 per $100 · 1,550 bets |
| nani0x081a…66d0 | 5.05% · How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October | $68 | – |
| title10xbe74…a70e | No on 5.15% · How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October | $67 | Positive+$1.92 per $100 · 7,460 bets |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.