Market · 1 of 9 outcomes
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.92% in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:25 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 75 | 60.9¢ | $59 | — |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 60 | 64.0¢ | $47 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Yes |
| 56 |
| 64.1¢ |
| $44 |
| Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| 0x51ae…ce30 | Yes | 51 | 60.3¢ | $40 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 40 | 60.0¢ | $32 | — |
| sunnynotbunny0x4d02…2ad3 | No | 134 | 39.2¢ | $28 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 21 shares each side · Show
|
2-Year Treasury Yield · October 2026 · 1 event · $3.91K in play