Market · 1 of 9 outcomes
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.92% in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:54 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 75 | 60.9¢ | $59 | — |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 60 | 64.0¢ | $47 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Yes |
| 56 |
| 64.1¢ |
| $44 |
| Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| 0x51ae…ce30 | Yes | 51 | 60.3¢ | $40 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 40 | 60.0¢ | $31 | — |
| sunnynotbunny0x4d02…2ad3 | No | 134 | 39.2¢ | $30 | — |
| 0x36cd…89b6 | No | 120 | 37.2¢ | $26 | — |
| financegaaaydog0xe2a3…8e01 | Yes | 24 | 62.0¢ | $18 | — |
| hp2102100x2ef8…b0f4 | Yes | 24 | 59.0¢ | $18 | Losing−$1.53 per $100 · 351 bets |
| tacor0x033b…5fd4 | Yes | 24 | 54.2¢ | $18 | Losing−$4.88 per $100 · 202 bets |
| just-bettor0xa742…9856 | No | 30 | 35.0¢ | $7 | — |
| HenriIV0x8d85…726f | Yes | 8 | 27.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xff7c…b233 | No | 27 | 40.0¢ | $6 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | No | 20 | 36.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| Hazel11220xe661…f84a | No | 20 | 36.0¢ | $4 | — |
| navber0xbcfe…2d00 | No | 5 | 90.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.65 per $100 · 613 bets |
| 0x0e3d…52ab | No | 4 | 44.0¢ | $1 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 21 shares each side · Show
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2-Year Treasury Yield · October 2026 · 1 event · $3.91K in play