Market · 6 of 9 outcomes
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xff7c…b233 | No | 73 | 75.8¢ | $51 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 160 | 37.4¢ | $48 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| financegaaaydog0xe2a3…8e01 | No | 52 | 54.0¢ | $37 | — |
| eqzwe103qwie0x38a5…e97f | No | 42 | 32.1¢ | $29 | Proven+$2.78 per $100 · 473 bets |
| SuperTests0xf3fa…7be3 | No | 35 | 48.2¢ | $25 | Proven+$3.40 per $100 · 1,020 bets |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 47 | 25.0¢ | $14 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
2-Year Treasury Yield · October 2026 · 1 event · $3.91K in play