Market · 5 of 9 outcomes
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:05 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xff7c…b233 | No | 73 | 75.8¢ | $51 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 160 | 37.4¢ | $48 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| financegaaaydog0xe2a3…8e01 | No | 52 | 54.0¢ | $37 | — |
| eqzwe103qwie0x38a5…e97f | No | 42 | 32.1¢ | $29 | Proven+$2.78 per $100 · 473 bets |
| SuperTests0xf3fa…7be3 | No | 35 | 48.2¢ | $25 | Proven+$3.40 per $100 · 1,020 bets |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 47 | 25.0¢ | $14 | — |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | No | 20 | 74.0¢ | $14 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| commeowder0xd06f…d4a6 | No | 11 | 65.0¢ | $8 | Proven+$3.25 per $100 · 2,064 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 25 | 46.3¢ | $7 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 10 | 54.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| boofa0xbc42…790f | Yes | 13 | 68.0¢ | $4 | — |
| superaiapi0xd04e…122e | No | 2 | 68.1¢ | $1 | — |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | No | 0 | 54.0¢ | $0 | — |
| brra0x9435…91fd | No | 0 | 55.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
2-Year Treasury Yield · October 2026 · 1 event · $3.91K in play