Market · 37 of 43 outcomes
Will Stephen A. Smith be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:35 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| limearbs0xf331…7e96 | No | 240 | 94.5¢ | $239 | — |
| GUINESS1230x2f26…0d8f | No | 82 | 89.9¢ | $81 | Losing−$2.11 per $100 · 28,108 bets |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | No | 13 | 99.0¢ | $13 | Break-even+$0.37 per $100 · 13,129 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 323 | 1.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| RobotBeta0xf379…c1ca | Yes | 286 | 0.7¢ | $2 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 222 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
31 more outcomes in this event.
These 43 outcomes add up to 113.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.