Market · 8 of 21 outcomes
Will SpaceXAI have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 60 | 99.8¢ | $60 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,412 bets |
| 0xc5ae…4cf1 | Yes | 669 | 0.1¢ | $3 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 187 | 3.6¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| 843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734.0x843c…0734 | Yes | 150 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 130 | 2.9¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,641 bets |
| 0x1f85…7b02 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
9 more outcomes in this event.
These 21 outcomes add up to 96.9¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.