Market · 4 of 21 outcomes
Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:52 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 60 | 99.6¢ | $59 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,020 bets |
| 0xc5ae…4cf1 | Yes | 395 | 0.2¢ | $4 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 299 | 0.3¢ | $3 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 232 | 2.4¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.59 per $100 · 123,775 bets |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.0x7474…cef7 | Yes | 150 | 0.4¢ | $2 | — |
| sanduspace0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | 50 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$44.40 per $100 · 11,985 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
9 more outcomes in this event.
These 21 outcomes add up to 96.6¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.