Market · 4 of 21 outcomes
Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 18:33 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 60 | 99.6¢ | $59 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,223 bets |
| 0xc5ae…4cf1 | Yes | 395 | 0.2¢ | $4 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 299 | 0.3¢ | $3 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 232 | 2.4¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.57 per $100 · 124,099+ bets · updating |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.0x7474…cef7 | Yes | 150 | 0.4¢ | $2 | — |
| sanduspace0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | 50 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$44.40 per $100 · 11,985 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 41 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,902 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 38 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,679 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 36 | 3.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| 0x1f85…7b02 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 31 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 20 | 3.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| 0xca75…0a64 | Yes | 20 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 15 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 8 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 1 | 1.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.38 per $100 · 41,591+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.