Market · 9 of 21 outcomes
Will Microsoft have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 10:37 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 99.7¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 195,024 bets |
| manbo30x6d1f…890d | No | 29 | 94.2¢ | $29 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 223 | 2.8¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,781 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 171 | 2.9¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,249 bets |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 150 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$81.55 per $100 · 22,315 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
9 more outcomes in this event.
These 21 outcomes add up to 106.0¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.