Market · 12 of 21 outcomes
Will Thinky have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 20:26 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 99.6¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,293 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 441 | 1.6¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 124,233+ bets · updating |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.10 per $100 · 22,268 bets |
| 843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734.0x843c…0734 | Yes | 150 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1f85…7b02 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 109 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
9 more outcomes in this event.
These 21 outcomes add up to 106.1¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.