Market · 5 of 21 outcomes
Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 20:33 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 60 | 99.8¢ | $60 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,341 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 441 | 1.7¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 124,233+ bets · updating |
| 0xc5ae…4cf1 | Yes | 241 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 150 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 126 | 2.9¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,756 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 109 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
9 more outcomes in this event.
These 21 outcomes add up to 106.2¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.