Market · 10 of 21 outcomes
Will Microsoft have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 11:48 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 99.7¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 195,038 bets |
| manbo30x6d1f…890d | No | 29 | 94.2¢ | $29 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 223 | 2.8¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,781 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 171 | 2.9¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,301 bets |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 150 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$81.55 per $100 · 22,315 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 126 | 2.9¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,238 bets |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | Yes | 108 | 2.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 91 | 1.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$14.60 per $100 · 54,599 bets |
| 0x1f85…7b02 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| .Menthe0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 46 | 2.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 20 | 7.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 20 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xca75…0a64 | Yes | 20 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 15 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 15 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.06 per $100 · 87,025+ bets · updating |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$875.31 per $100 · 26,627 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 8 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.54 per $100 · 87,665 bets |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| luciebot0x17dd…944c | Yes | 5 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
| fourcoin15m0x0629…501d | Yes | 5 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$10.84 per $100 · 22,091 bets |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 1 | 1.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.75 per $100 · 67,936+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.