Market · 8 of 21 outcomes
Will SpaceXAI have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 23:54 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 60 | 99.8¢ | $60 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,833 bets |
| 0xc5ae…4cf1 | Yes | 669 | 0.1¢ | $3 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 247 | 3.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.55 per $100 · 125,317+ bets · updating |
| 843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734.0x843c…0734 | Yes | 150 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 130 | 2.9¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.69 per $100 · 128,611 bets |
| 0x1f85…7b02 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| .Menthe0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 11B7c7e5D9610xaee8…1154 | Yes | 41 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| VonVonagh0xeace…38b9 | Yes | 22 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 21 | 7.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 20 | 4.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 20 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 15 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| sanduspace0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | 10 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$45.07 per $100 · 12,069 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 1 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.70 per $100 · 58,951 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 1 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,681 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.