Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:24 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 7.0¢ | +1.0 pts |
| $10,000 | 18.4¢ | +12.4 pts |
| $100,000 | 55.1¢ | +49.1 pts |
| $500,000 | 76.6¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 5¢.
About $1.46K can be bought and $2.44K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 6.0¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 01:24 UTC.
Russia Invades Another Country · 2 events · $278K in play
22 traders bet this week.