Market · 1 of 4 outcomes
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 13:19 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NiceDuckBro0xb26c…0eb0 | Yes | 3,276 | 69.7¢ | $2.06K | — |
| anotherpatrick0xc984…37ca | No | 3,287 | 30.0¢ | $1.22K | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Yes |
| 426 |
| 50.7¢ |
| $269 |
| — |
| B1zz0xcd64…3081 | No | 338 | 40.3¢ | $125 | — |
| -BOB-0xb084…b64f | Yes | 145 | 55.1¢ | $91 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 151 | 35.6¢ | $56 | Losing−$2.60 per $100 · 123,566 bets |