Market · 4 of 4 outcomes
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:44 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| anotherpatrick0xc984…37ca | No | 3,235 | 51.7¢ | $2.94K | — |
| JoeBlack010x9ca1…13b5 | No | 2,734 | 68.0¢ | $2.49K | Proven+$2.66 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Smart-bettor70x7845…417b |
| No |
| 1,726 |
| 85.9¢ |
| $1.57K |
| Losing−$1.64 per $100 · 525 bets |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | No | 600 | 63.3¢ | $546 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| GaioMario0x94d0…9e65 | No | 345 | 56.8¢ | $314 | — |
| 0xf257…9420 | Yes | 2,803 | 47.7¢ | $252 | — |