Market · 2 of 4 outcomes
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 13:19 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| anotherpatrick0xc984…37ca | No | 4,119 | 59.0¢ | $2.7K | — |
| JoeBlack010x9ca1…13b5 | No | 2,182 | 42.1¢ | $1.43K | Proven+$2.66 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| AnonDaveDave0x98bc…a1da |
| No |
| 1,306 |
| 26.8¢ |
| $856 |
| — |
| KrackenSruster0xd44e…67e2 | No | 907 | 16.5¢ | $594 | Proven+$10.52 per $100 · 893 bets |
| 0xf257…9420 | Yes | 1,547 | 59.4¢ | $534 | — |
| 5.6sol0x5709…22c3 | Yes | 1,500 | 55.7¢ | $517 | — |